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Youth bedroom sales to grow 23.5% by 2012

-- Kids Today, 4/1/2008

Consumer spending for youth bedroom is poised to grow by 23.5% between 2007 and 2012, according to projections by New York-based Easy Analytic Software Inc. Sales will reach $6.3 billion in 2012 if EASI's projections hold, up from an estimated $5.1 billion last year.

It's important to note that EASI's projections are based on demographic changes (migration patterns, birth rates, etc.) and do not take into account economic factors such as the current housing and credit situation.

As with most other furniture products, the greatest growth is projected for Western and Southern states. The slowest growth is projected for the Northeast.

Of the 42 metropolitan areas expected to grow youth bedroom sales by more than 33%, 19 are in the West and 23 are in the South.

Fast-growing sales opportunities are even more concentrated in the South, according to EASI.

Their models show that of the Southern 23 metros expected to increase youth bedroom sales by more than one-third by 2012, nine are in Florida, led by Palm Coast (60.3%), The Villages (46.5%) and Cape Coral-Fort Myers (42.0%). The first two are smaller metros, with core populations between 10,000 to 50,000; the third, Cape Coral-Fort Myers, is a large metro with a core population over 50,000.

North Carolina is home to another five of these fast-growing metros. The top three, Raleigh-Cary (38.3%), Wilmington (35.1%), and Charlotte-Gastonia-Concord, which spills into South Carolina (35.1%) are all large metropolitan areas.

Opportunities are more dispersed in the West. Of the 19 metros expected to grow by more than 33%, four are in Arizona, led by greater Phoenix (38.3%); three are in Utah, led by St. George (48.1%); four are in California, led by Riverside-San Bernadino-Ontario (37.3%); two each are in Idaho, Nevada and Oregon; and one each in Colorado and Montana.

State 2007 estimated 2012 projected % change
Alabama $80.0 $97.2 21.4%
Alaska 10.8 13.5 25.1%
Arizona 105.8 143.4 35.6%
Arkansas 48.5 59.7 22.9%
California 577.8 717.3 24.1%
Colorado 84.3 106.7 26.7%
Connecticut 63.5 76.2 20.0%
Delaware 15.1 19.1 26.2%
District of Columbia 11.8 13.4 13.4%
Florida 333.1 431.2 29.4%
Georgia 156.3 201.3 28.7%
Hawaii 19.3 24.1 24.9%
Idaho 23.8 31.0 30.2%
Illinois 218.5 263.6 20.6%
Indiana 109.8 133.8 21.8%
Iowa 53.0 63.7 20.1%
Kansas 48.4 58.3 20.6%
Kentucky 73.8 89.7 21.7%
Louisiana 70.5 85.3 20.9%
Maine 24.1 29.0 20.4%
Maryland 97.8 119.4 22.1%
Massachusetts 116.5 137.1 17.7%
Michigan 175.1 208.2 18.9%
Minnesota 90.8 110.8 22.1%
Mississippi 47.6 58.0 21.8%
Missouri 103.1 125.1 21.4%
Montana 16.6 20.4 22.7%
Nebraska 31.0 37.7 21.4%
Nevada 43.2 59.3 37.4%
New Hampshire 23.4 28.8 23.0%
New Jersey 150.9 182.1 20.7%
New Mexico 33.3 41.9 25.8%
New York 333.2 393.0 17.9%
North Carolina 156.0 198.5 27.3%
North Dakota 11.2 13.2 17.7%
Ohio 202.5 239.8 18.4%
Oklahoma 61.8 75.1 21.5%
Oregon 64.8 81.2 25.4%
Pennsylvania 221.6 264.1 19.2%
Rhode Island 19.1 22.5 17.9%
South Carolina 74.6 93.7 25.5%
South Dakota 13.4 16.3 21.6%
Tennessee 105.9 131.2 23.8%
Texas 385.5 498.0 29.2%
Utah 35.9 46.4 29.0%
Vermont 11.2 13.4 19.7%
Virginia 134.3 166.8 24.2%
Washington 111.9 140.7 25.7%
West Virginia 32.5 38.4 18.2%
Wisconsin 98.3 119.3 21.4%
Wyoming 9.1 11.1 22.6%
Total $5,140.3 $6,349.1 23.5%
States in bold are expected to exceed the national average in sales growth between 2007 and 2012.
Source: Easy Analytic Software Inc. and Kids Today market research

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